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历史观点(2 条,最新在上)
- English · 原文Feels like the only thing that hasn’t crashed… Is memory like $MU, indexes, or large cap semis like Intel so far. - Photonics from $AXTI to $SIVE down 40%. - Space from $ASTS and $RKLB down 40% 1M. - Popular AI names like $PLTR is down ~35% YTD. - Software like $CRM down -40%. - Bitcoin sub <60k, Ethereum sub <$16k. Not a fun time with a hawkish fed narrative and potential rate hikes. However this does sorta feel overshot due to margin liquidations on less liquid assets compared to mega caps. But we’ll see what happens, usually fundamentals override liquidity shock in the longer run. I’m still personally bullish on the AI buildout + upstream AI capex beneficiaries, but 1-2 potential rate hikes certainly don’t help.中文 · 翻译感觉现在唯一还没崩的… 大概就是像 $MU 这样的存储芯片、指数,或者英特尔这类大盘半导体(到目前为止)。 - 光子学从 $AXTI 到 $SIVE,跌了 40%。 - 太空股 $ASTS 和 $RKLB,一个月跌了 40%。 - 热门 AI 股比如 $PLTR,年初至今跌了约 35%。 - 软件股像 $CRM,跌了 40%。 - 比特币跌破 6 万,以太坊跌破 1600 美元。 碰上鹰派美联储的叙事、还有可能加息,这日子可不好过。 不过,这波下跌感觉确实有点过头了,主要是因为流动性较差资产的保证金平仓,和巨型股相比尤其明显。 但走着瞧吧,通常长期来看,基本面会盖过流动性冲击。 我个人仍然看好 AI 基建和上游 AI 资本支出的受益股,但一两次潜在的加息肯定起不到什么帮助。
- English · 原文Yes, choosing the right theme is extremely important. Even if $POET doesn't really do anything, it still gets brought up thematically due to $LITE, $COHR, and others. Even if $RDDT outperforms extremely hard, it still gets brought down from $META, $MSFT, $CRM, and other software basket names.中文 · 翻译没错,选对主题极其重要。 就算 $POET 本身没什么动作,它也会因为 $LITE、$COHR 和其他股票而被带到主题上来。 就算 $RDDT 表现极其强势,它还是会因为 $META、$MSFT、$CRM 以及其他软件篮子里的票而被拖下来。