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历史观点（8 条，最新在上）
- English · 原文@Joseph363555684 No positions in $WOLF right now, but I’m cheering it on anyway since it’s a core part of American supply chains. Still think financials are a bit toxic, but maybe with more market support + subsidies it will go brrr中文 · 翻译@Joseph363555684 我现在没有 $WOLF 的仓位，不过还是给它加油，毕竟它是美国供应链的核心部分。 仍然觉得财务面有点烂，但如果有更多市场支持加上补贴，说不定就能起飞了。
- English · 原文Yep, very stupid to be a bear. When Trump is doing everything to boost markets before Midterms. On top, your $WOLF power semi basket should go brrr from 800 VDC acceleration. $LITE optical basket should go brrr from InP easing. $SPCX successful IPO gives more appetite to risk on themes/IPOs (eg. Space sector). And overall macro go brr from War/Strait peace deals. It’s already kind of showing, since 2026 rate hike odds also crashed from 65% -> 35% following the news. Along with crude futures dropping. I've actually found Europe to be the most price sensitive to Iran tensions, so EU markets would probably be the most bullish overall… (South Korea/TW was originally with Sk Hynix moving directly in correlation to crude oil futures, but stopped caring after awhile). But basically: Murica go brrrr.中文 · 翻译没错，这时候做空真的很蠢。 特朗普在中选前拼了命地拉抬市场。 更别说，你那个 $WOLF 功率半导体组合，在 800V 直流快充加速的推动下，应该要直接起飞了。 $LITE 的光学组合，有了 InP 技术的放宽限制，也该跟着飞。 $SPCX 成功上市，让市场对主题/IPO（比如航天板块）的风险偏好更强了。 宏观层面更是因为战争/台海和平协议而狂欢。 迹象已经很明显了——2026 年加息的概率预期，消息一出直接从 65% 暴跌到 35%。原油期货也在跌。 我反而发现，欧洲对伊朗局势的价格变化最敏感，所以欧股整体上可能是最牛的…… （韩国/台湾那边，之前 SK 海力士的走势跟原油期货直接挂钩，但后来慢慢就不跟着走了。） 但说到底：美利坚，冲就完事了。
- English · 原文@JSCC2020Lee Yep, $NVTS, $POWI, $ON, $WOLF, $AOSL $XFAB, and others with power semi exposure probably get a bump from q3 pull forward. (disclosure have exposure to xfab + navitas)中文 · 翻译@JSCC2020Lee 是的，$NVTS、$POWI、$ON、$WOLF、$AOSL、$XFAB 以及其他涉及功率半导体的标的，可能都会因为 Q3 的提前拉货而有所提振。 （声明：持有 xfab + navitas 的仓位）
- English · 原文Markets should be cheering on domestic champions like $AAOI. Since it's ideal to support critical AI infra from laser fab to production in the US, rather than being a bear. Feels like everyone just outsources transceivers to Asia like Malaysia or Thailand... With $INTC, $IQE, $XFAB, $MU, $WOLF, $SOI, $SIVE, and others... If you haven't noticed by now, they're all critical to US supply chains. And every one of them are getting subsidies for securing Western supply chains. Before a major trade was to short developing US/Western equities, then hedge with subsidized foreign ones. As seen with the energy/solar firms that went bankrupt, this backfired a lot on US AI infrastructure years later with the power grid. I wanted to help change this mindset, since I believe it's very positive sum to invest in building up critical Western supply chains like photonics today. Especially if $AAOI hits their $471m/month projections after reshoring their production to America. Instead of hoping they fail and calling critical nodes in the supply chains memestocks/bubbles, maybe it's good to change mindsets a bit so we don't see a repeat of the US Solar sector years later. US/EU don't just hand out subsidies or CHIPS act grants to anyone.中文 · 翻译市场应该为 $AAOI 这样的本土冠军企业欢呼才对。 既然理想的做法是支持从激光器件制造到生产的美国本土关键 AI 基础设施，而不是当个空头。 感觉所有人都在把光模块外包给马来西亚或泰国这样的亚洲国家…… 还有 $INTC、$IQE、$XFAB、$MU、$WOLF、$SOI、$SIVE 和其他公司…… 如果你到现在还没注意到，它们全都对美国供应链至关重要。而且每一家都在拿补贴，用来保障西方供应链。 以前的主流交易是做空美国/西方成长股，然后用补贴的外国股票来对冲。 就像那些破产的能源/太阳能公司一样，几年后美国 AI 基础设施在电网这一块可吃了大亏。 我想帮忙改变这种思维，因为我相信，投资建设像今天的光电子这样的西方关键供应链，是非常正和的。 尤其是如果 $AAOI 在把生产回迁美国之后，达到了他们每月 $471 百万的收入目标。 与其盼着它们失败，把供应链里的关键节点叫做“梗股/泡沫”，也许稍微转变一下心态会比较好，这样几年后我们才不会再看到美国太阳能行业那样的重演。 美欧可不是随便什么公司都会发补贴或 CHIPS 法案资金的。
- English · 原文Okay chat, here's your compiled list chat of your favorite 800V DC related ideas. 1. $IFNNY - $115.8B 2. $ON - $46.2B 3. Lite-On (2301) - $16.03B 4. 6504.T - $14.1B 5. $VICR - $12.8B 6. $LFUS - $11.57B 7. https://t.co/1unM4FPf65 - $8.34B 8. $VSH - $7.86B 9. $ENPH - $7.36B 10. $NVTS - $5.77B 11. $POWI - $4.30B 12. $BDC - $4.18B 13. $EOSE - $3.86B 14. $SEDG - $3.82B 15. $AEHR - $3.1B 16. 6890.T - $2.66B 17. $WOLF - $2.16B 18. $CWR.L - $1.75B 19. $AMSC - $1.68B 20. https://t.co/43OXU9tx65 - $1.68B 21. $XFAB - $1.54B 22. $AOSL - $1.25B 23. $HYLN - $1.23B 24. $FCEL - $835M 25. $IQE.L - $780M 26. $ASYS - $276M 27. $RELL - $239M 28. 6844.T - $222M 29. 4973.T - $207M 30. $PAY.BR - $189M 31. 6616.T - $186M 32. 6882.T - $124M 33. $IPWR - $96m Also included some adjacent ones you all mentioned like $FCEL or $EOSE anyway, tho idk it's great exposure. Ignored the clearer irrelevant stuff like $POET that people mentioned tho. There's like 500 comments, but I guess X limits everything I can see. We'll see how your highest conviction ideas do.中文 · 翻译好的，这是你最喜欢的 800V 直流相关的整理清单，各位朋友们。 1. $IFNNY - $1158亿 2. $ON - $462亿 3. 光宝科技 (2301) - $160.3亿 4. 6504.T - $141亿 5. $VICR - $128亿 6. $LFUS - $115.7亿 7. https://t.co/1unM4FPf65 - $83.4亿 8. $VSH - $78.6亿 9. $ENPH - $73.6亿 10. $NVTS - $57.7亿 11. $POWI - $43亿 12. $BDC - $41.8亿 13. $EOSE - $38.6亿 14. $SEDG - $38.2亿 15. $AEHR - $31亿 16. 6890.T - $26.6亿 17. $WOLF - $21.6亿 18. $CWR.L - $17.5亿 19. $AMSC - $16.8亿 20. https://t.co/43OXU9tx65 - $16.8亿 21. $XFAB - $15.4亿 22. $AOSL - $12.5亿 23. $HYLN - $12.3亿 24. $FCEL - $8.35亿 25. $IQE.L - $7.8亿 26. $ASYS - $2.76亿 27. $RELL - $2.39亿 28. 6844.T - $2.22亿 29. 4973.T - $2.07亿 30. $PAY.BR - $1.89亿 31. 6616.T - $1.86亿 32. 6882.T - $1.24亿 33. $IPWR - $9600万 另外还顺手把你们提到的像 $FCEL 或 $EOSE 这种有点沾边的也放进来了，虽然我不确定这是不是好的敞口。有人提到的像 $POET 那种明显不相关的就忽略了。 评论大概有500条，但估计X的机制限制了我能看到的内容。 咱们就看看你最有信心的那些想法表现如何吧。
- English · 原文Bro media… how is $XFAB a meme stock? Can you not repeat the same mistake with $RPI this time? They’re literally getting CHIPS ACT funding from the EU because of how critical they are. And have $NVDA / $NOK evaluating their SiPH side of things, while they traded at a low ~1.28 P/B. This just reminded me of $SOI low p/b but high growth verticals out of legacy segment drag. $XFAB was literally mentioned for CHIPS ACT 2 next week in the blueprints… Which focuses around photonics. The main revenue ramp was around power semis with $NVDA pushing 800 vdc. So $NVTS, $POWI, $WOLF and everyone have been taking off recently. Markets just missed $XFAB, because they’re a lesser known foundry in power semis…But US Dpt. Of commerce pointed them out as the only high volume SiC foundry in the US 2Y ago. I just happened to point out the connections. Just because you don’t understand something, don’t just go call it a “meme stock” with price detached from fundamentals.中文 · 翻译Bro media… $XFAB 怎么就成 meme 股了？ 这次可别再在 $RPI 上犯同样的错误好吗？ 它们可是因为太关键，直接从欧盟拿到了 CHIPS ACT 资金。 而且 $NVDA / $NOK 正在评估它们的 SiPH 业务，同时它们交易价才低到大约 1.28 倍市净率。 这让我想起了 $SOI，市净率低但高增长垂直领域正脱离传统业务板块的拖累。 $XFAB 可是被明确写在下周 CHIPS ACT 2 的蓝皮书里……而那蓝皮书主要聚焦光子学。 主收入增长引擎在于功率半导体，因为 $NVDA 在推 800 伏直流电。 所以 $NVTS、$POWI、$WOLF 和大家都最近起飞了。 市场只是错过了 $XFAB，因为它们在功率半导体里是个不太知名的代工厂……但美国商务部 2 年前就指出，它们是美国唯一高产能的 SiC 代工厂。 我恰好指出了这些关联。 别因为你搞不懂，就给人家扣个 "meme 股" 的帽子，说价格脱离基本面。
- English · 原文@beroccan I didn’t have $WOLF unfortunately. I thought financials were toxic when I first look at them at $15中文 · 翻译@beroccan 可惜我没有 $WOLF。我第一次在 $15 看财报时觉得金融数据很糟糕。
- English · 原文All right chat, crowdsourcing your #1 highest conviction (10x only) stock long for the Power Semi trade. Especially given $NVDA pushing shift to 800 VDC. Stuff like $NVTS or $WOLF, but high-beta, 10x potential only. Anywhere around the world. What's your pick? https://t.co/Y10KR6HLVC中文 · 翻译好了大伙儿，来集思广益一下——你心目中 Power Semi 板块里最有信心（只要 10 倍）的做多标的。 特别是考虑到 $NVDA 在推动转向 800 VDC。 像是 $NVTS 或 $WOLF 这种，但要高 Beta、只求 10 倍潜力。全球范围都行。 你选哪个？https://t.co/Y10KR6HLVC